Benchmark

Metaculus Cup

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Welcome to September 20, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)
AIs took first, second, and fifth at the Metaculus Cup (www.economist.com)

Forecasting competition comparing predictive performance.

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2026-09-20: AI systems place highly in forecasting competition

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Metaculus Cup
Innermost Loop KB — secondary record
Reporting date: unknown
KB permalink: https://nicholsn.github.io/innermost-loop-kb/benchmarks/metaculus-cup
Attributed sources:
- Welcome to September 20, 2026 — https://theinnermostloop.substack.com/p/welcome-to-september-20-2026
- AIs took first, second, and fifth at the Metaculus Cup — https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2026/09/16/artificial-intelligence-now-beats-some-of-the-best-human-forecasters
This citation does not imply independent verification of linked-source claims.

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