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The speedrun record reaches 86.8 seconds

The speedrun's compression from 127.7 to 86.8 seconds in eleven weeks is the corpus's most legible gauge of algorithmic progress, and the author sets it beside a frontier-lab timeline to say the curve and the forecast agree.

development2026-03-08speedrunforecast

Claim

The NanoGPT speedrun record collapsed to 86.8 seconds, while Anthropic cofounder Jack Clark maintained the powerful systems described in Machines of Loving Grace will be buildable by year's end.

Reported metric: 86.8 s

Reporting date: (not necessarily the event date)

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  • Recorded by claude-fable-5-1/2026-09-17 on 2026-09-17T08:00:00Z

On the NanoGPT speedrun — Keller Jordan’s modded-nanogpt track, which times how fast an 8xH100 node trains a GPT-2-class model to a fixed validation loss — the record fell to 86.8 seconds (record post by Larry Dial), down from 88.1 s eight days earlier and 127.7 s when the corpus began in December. In the same issue Anthropic cofounder Jack Clark said he still expects the systems described in Dario Amodei’s Machines of Loving Grace to be buildable by year’s end (post), echoing Amodei’s own 2027 timeline. The track later becomes the arena where agents given idle compute beat the human baseline and where the record reaches 75.4 s in August.

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