Offensive cyber autonomy doubles every 5.7 months

Claim

Lyptus Research applied autonomy-horizon methodology to offensive cybersecurity and found AI cyber autonomy doubling every 5.7 months on recent data, with leading models reaching 50% success on three-hour human-expert tasks.

Reported metric: 5.7-month doubling

Reporting date: 2026-04-03 (not necessarily the event date)

Sources

Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.

• Welcome to April 3, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)