Development

A lab sketches two versions of 2028 turning on export controls

development2026-05-15

Claim

Anthropic published a paper on US-China AI competition sketching two versions of 2028, one where democracies defend their compute advantage and set the rules and one where export-control loopholes hand that role to authoritarian regimes.

Reporting date: 2026-05-15 (not necessarily the event date)

Sources

Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.

Welcome to May 15, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)

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Reported in

Welcome to May 15, 2026

Actor

Anthropic

Evidence for

Supersedes

Spy agencies move in on pre-release model evaluation

Referenced by

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A lab sketches two versions of 2028 turning on export controls
Innermost Loop KB — secondary record
Reporting date: 2026-05-15
KB permalink: https://nicholsn.github.io/innermost-loop-kb/developments/2026-05-15-two-versions-of-2028
Claim: Anthropic published a paper on US-China AI competition sketching two versions of 2028, one where democracies defend their compute advantage and set the rules and one where export-control loopholes hand that role to authoritarian regimes.
Attributed sources:
- Welcome to May 15, 2026 — https://theinnermostloop.substack.com/p/welcome-to-may-15-2026
This citation does not imply independent verification of linked-source claims.

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