Development

A forecaster pulls her median for the Millennium Prizes to 2032

development2026-05-21

Claim

Epoch AI's Yafah Edelman pulled her median for solving most Millennium Prize Problems forward to 2032, with Noam Brown noting that less than a year ago frontier models were merely at olympiad gold level.

Reported metric: 2032

Reporting date: 2026-05-21 (not necessarily the event date)

Sources

Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.

Welcome to May 21, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)

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Welcome to May 21, 2026

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Welcome to May 21, 2026

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A forecaster pulls her median for the Millennium Prizes to 2032
Innermost Loop KB — secondary record
Reporting date: 2026-05-21
KB permalink: https://nicholsn.github.io/innermost-loop-kb/developments/2026-05-21-millennium-median-pulled-to-2032
Claim: Epoch AI's Yafah Edelman pulled her median for solving most Millennium Prize Problems forward to 2032, with Noam Brown noting that less than a year ago frontier models were merely at olympiad gold level.
Attributed sources:
- Welcome to May 21, 2026 — https://theinnermostloop.substack.com/p/welcome-to-may-21-2026
This citation does not imply independent verification of linked-source claims.

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