Development

An analysis estimates a rapid decline in capability prices

development2026-09-24economics

Claim

The newsletter cites an estimate that the price of a fixed level of AI capability is falling thirteenfold per year and characterizes the decline as unusually fast among transformative technologies.

Reported metric: 13x a year

Reporting date: 2026-09-24 (not necessarily the event date)

Sources

Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.

Welcome to September 24, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)
Source linked by the September 24 issue (epoch.ai)

Indexed from the September 24 newsletter. Linked-source claims have not been independently verified.

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Reported in

Welcome to September 24, 2026

Actor

Epoch AI

Evidence for

The price of reasoning is deflating

Referenced by

Welcome to September 24, 2026

Cite or correct this record

Citation formatCitation text

An analysis estimates a rapid decline in capability prices
Innermost Loop KB — secondary record
Reporting date: 2026-09-24
KB permalink: https://nicholsn.github.io/innermost-loop-kb/developments/2026-09-24-capability-price-trend
Claim: The newsletter cites an estimate that the price of a fixed level of AI capability is falling thirteenfold per year and characterizes the decline as unusually fast among transformative technologies.
Attributed sources:
- Welcome to September 24, 2026 — https://theinnermostloop.substack.com/p/welcome-to-september-24-2026
- Source linked by the September 24 issue — https://epoch.ai/publications/the-plunging-price-of-thought
This citation does not imply independent verification of linked-source claims.

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