Development

Markets give SpaceX better than even odds of a $2T IPO

development2026-02-09

Claim

Prediction markets now give SpaceX above a 40% chance of exceeding a $2 trillion valuation at IPO.

Reported metric: >40% of $2T

Reporting date: 2026-02-09 (not necessarily the event date)

Sources

Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.

Welcome to February 9, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)

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Reported in

Welcome to February 9, 2026

Actor

SpaceX

Evidence for

Compute is the capital stack

Supersedes

SpaceX plans a $1.5 trillion IPO timed to a planetary alignment

Referenced by

Welcome to February 9, 2026

Cite or correct this record

Citation formatCitation text

Markets give SpaceX better than even odds of a $2T IPO
Innermost Loop KB — secondary record
Reporting date: 2026-02-09
KB permalink: https://nicholsn.github.io/innermost-loop-kb/developments/2026-02-09-spacex-2t-ipo-odds
Claim: Prediction markets now give SpaceX above a 40% chance of exceeding a $2 trillion valuation at IPO.
Attributed sources:
- Welcome to February 9, 2026 — https://theinnermostloop.substack.com/p/welcome-to-february-9-2026
This citation does not imply independent verification of linked-source claims.

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