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The autonomy horizon reaches a working day and a half

development2026-02-23

Claim

METR estimated Claude Opus 4.6 has a 50% autonomy time horizon of about 14.5 hours on software tasks, the highest ever reported, while the LessWrong community began admitting AGI is here.

Reported metric: 14.5 hours

Reporting date: 2026-02-23 (not necessarily the event date)

Sources

Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.

Welcome to February 23, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)

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Reported in

Welcome to February 23, 2026

Actor

Evidence for

Supersedes

Autonomy horizons are doubling fast enough to imply 10x a year

Referenced by

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Citation formatCitation text

The autonomy horizon reaches a working day and a half
Innermost Loop KB — secondary record
Reporting date: 2026-02-23
KB permalink: https://nicholsn.github.io/innermost-loop-kb/developments/2026-02-23-metr-145-hour-horizon
Claim: METR estimated Claude Opus 4.6 has a 50% autonomy time horizon of about 14.5 hours on software tasks, the highest ever reported, while the LessWrong community began admitting AGI is here.
Attributed sources:
- Welcome to February 23, 2026 — https://theinnermostloop.substack.com/p/welcome-to-february-23-2026
This citation does not imply independent verification of linked-source claims.

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