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Capability doubling time compresses to four and a half months
Claim
The UK's AI Security Institute found capability doubling time has compressed to 4.5 months, with the leading models showing no clear ceiling, only a token budget.
Reported metric: 4.5-month doubling
Reporting date: (not necessarily the event date)
Sources
Attribution and reporting linked by this record; links do not imply independent verification.
- Welcome to May 14, 2026 (theinnermostloop.substack.com)
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