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Welcome to December 13, 2025

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The third edition finds a better unit than accuracy: how long a model can run unsupervised. Epoch AI puts Gemini 3 Pro at a 4.9-hour autonomous horizon, and the extrapolated doubling time at roughly a month — which, if it holds, is what makes annual roadmaps meaningless.

The second claim cuts against the first. Zoom’s federated swarm of small open and closed models beats the monolith it is assembled from. Capability stops being a property of the best model and becomes a property of the arrangement — the same move as issue 002’s scaffolding argument, now at the level of the network.

Underneath, science is being institutionalized rather than merely automated: new agency-funded lab structures, a national discovery platform, and a Fields medallist describing himself as human-in-the-loop.

It closes on the Solar System finally has a business model.

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